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POLITICS
Iowa Proves Trump Is a Loser
Adding context to facts makes it clear that Trump is going nowhere
I have managed property for years and I learned early on that location is everything. The nicest building in a lousy neighborhood is still a bad investment.
Context in news is analogous to location in real estate
You might have a candidate the polls show is winning, but if you don’t consider context, you will be fooled into believing the numbers mean something they don’t.
Take the Iowa caucuses, for example. Yes, 51% of Iowans who participated voted for Donald Trump. But that also means 49% didn’t. That’s 49% of the people in Iowa, the heart of Trumpland. Nearly half of the most adamant Trump supporters in the country showed up in extreme weather to vote against Donald J. Trump.
This might not mean much since he was running against other Republicans. However, it speaks to the cult-based following Trump has and the fact that even in Iowa, loyalty to Trump is not all-encompassing.
Polls are flawed
Polls are generally flawed mechanisms for predicting the future. Remember the big “red wave” or “red tsunami” Republicans predicted in 2022, which never…
